Wednesday, April 09, 2008

More on that real estate survey 

MN Chair in Real Estate Steve Mooney sent me a copy of his report along with the press release that surveys graduates of his program to determine conditions in the real estate industry as discussed earlier. The survey was of 141 graduates, with 42 of them having three or fewer years of experience. Here are a few interesting tables:

Table 1 � How Do You Rate the Market?

2005


2007


Very

Good

Good

Average

Poor


Very Good

Good

Average

Poor

Appraisal

14%

66%

21%

0

Appraisal

0

17%

57%

27%

Development

38%

38%

23%

0

Development

14%

57%

14%

14%

Property Management

29%

57%

10%

0

Property Management

0

38%

54%

8%

Mortgage Banker

3%

84%

13%

0

Mortgage Banker

0

12%

35%

53%

Broker

13%

80%

7%

0

Broker

0

26%

41%

33%

Assessor

7%

57%

36%

0

Assessor

0

0

73%

27%

Res-All

11%

63%

25%

0

Res-All

0

12%

37%

51%

Comm-All

19%

71%

10%

0

Comm-All

1%

23%

52%

21%

That is as telling about the movement in the market as anything we can publish. In particular for mortgage bankers, the market is grim. When asked whether the respondents see themselves in the same business five years from now, here are the percentages who said "yes".

Table 2

2005

2007

Appraisal

93%

90%

Developer

100%

100%

Prop Mgt

76%

88%

Mortgage Banker

91%

59%

Broker

100%

92%

Assessor

100%

86%


29% of respondents see the market improving in the next 1-3 years and 13% think it will get worse. (The rest believed it would "stabilize" -- at what level? I don't know.)

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