Wednesday, October 04, 2006

Can I get a peace of the action? 

There is a book, Centrebet in Australia, taking wagers for the Nobel Peace Prize, due to be awarded 10/13. The leader, at 5-4, is Maarti Ahtisaari and the Crisis Management Initiative. Indonesian President Susil Bambang Yudhoyono is second at 5-2. Cindy Sheehan is 17-1, Bono 33-1, and George Bush is 1000-1.

Ladbrokes has a pool for the Nobel in literature, and Orhan Pamuk is favored there. I read Snow given to me as a Christmas gift by Littlest, and I can see why he deserves one. In economics, Edmund Phelps is favored by the bettors at 4-1. Avinash Dixit, Paul Romer, Peter Diamond and Robert Barro are all 7-1, Paul Krugman 8-1 and Dale Jorgensen (I assume, they say Mortensen, who I don't know from a hole in the ground) is 9-1. I really prefer Jorgensen, but I wouldn't be upset with any of the choices on the list except Bob Rubin (who isn't an economist) and Ernst Fehr, who just isn't on the same level with the others.