Wednesday, September 06, 2006

Unnamed vanilla vs. unnamed chocolate 

There's a new poll in the 6th CD which says Michele Bachmann has a strong lead over Patty Wetterling. Except, as Larry Schumacher points out, it doesn't really say that:
It shows an unnamed GOP candidate with a 53 percent to 42 percent lead over an unnamed DFLer, with a margin of error of plus/minus 3.1 percent. appears that the robo-caller does not mention the candidates by name, but asks them if they will support the Republican or Democrat in the race. Also, no mention of the Independence Party candidate. Makes it somewhat suspect, IMHO. But still, it's the first one. Maybe this will shake loose some others.
Right, they didn't use the names of the candidates in the poll. And since the 6th is a fairly conservative district, the question "In the House race in your district, do you favor the Republican or the Democrat?" is bound to go red. The margin is nice, but probably says more about voter ID than about the candidates. So guys, keep the shouting down. By my personal divining rod -- no more than talking to people in the district -- this one is still within the margin of error. But it does say that a strong GOTV effort by Republicans in the Sixth should keep this seat in the R column.