Thursday, September 28, 2006
More on election demographics
CD--Married--Schoolage Kids (5-19)
1, 60.2, 149544
2, 63.5, 157267
3, 62.4, 140413
4, 47.4, 144041
5, 43.2, 122614
6, 60.9, 159864
7, 60.0, 151546
8, 59.2, 143080
The most Democratic district, the 5th in Minneapolis, has both low marital rates and a small number of children compare to the others. The 4th and 8th, two other seats normally considered DFL-leaning, are next. (The low birthrate in the 8th surprised me.) The 2nd and the 6th would be predicted to be most likely Republican by both marital status and size of families -- while the 3rd, Jim Ramstad's district, has a high marriage rate but fairly low number of kids. Those are likely to be two-earner families, where the higher opportunity cost of having children keeps family size lower.